NERAI aggregates the restricted-party universe, tracks enforcement pressure continuously, scores circumvention corridors, and publishes calibrated sanctions forecasts — every fact verified before it reaches you.
From list aggregation to corridor-level circumvention scoring, every module is built to answer one question: where is sanctions risk concentrating next?
Designation events as they cascade, and the composite pressure they add up to.
Every output on this page follows the same pipeline — aggregate, score, forecast, verify — so a number never appears without a source behind it.
Significance testing Signals are tested before they become claims.
Event-level verification Every event is verified before any narrative is written.
ICD-203-aligned A grounding guard aligned with ICD-203 analytic standards.
No unverified claims If it cannot be verified, it does not ship.
Each week the platform autonomously generates binary sanctions forecasts — will a designation land, will a package be adopted — and publishes them with calibrated probabilities.
Every week: the five most consequential sanctions events, under a strict 7-day recency rule, with every fact drawn from URL-verified sources.
Each edition adds expert strategic analysis and is available as a PDF download.
Read published research →Open the live dashboard, browse the published research, or talk to us about what your team needs to see.